Statistically Speaking

By Matt Lockett

Tomorrow the Senate Judiciary Committee will cast its votes for Supreme Court nominee Elena Kagan.

At the outset of her hearings polling revealed that 81% of Americans had never heard of Elena Kagan. Gallup conducted a routine survey before and after the hearings asking the following question:

 

 

For those paying attention Kagan could be the first confirmed nominee in recent history whose nomination was backed by less than a majority of Americans in the final poll before the Senate confirmation vote. What might the above numbers indicate? Gallup reports that:

Typically, support for nominees does not change much after their hearings. Instead, Gallup usually finds increases in the percentage of Americans opposed and decreases in the percentage with no opinion. The percentage without an opinion on the Kagan nomination was the same before and after her hearings, which may indicate these were not widely followed by the average American. (emphasis added)
(source)

The Senate is poised to vote on a candidate whose history reveals extreme political activism in the areas of Partial-Birth Abortion and human cloning. With no prior judicial experience we have no reason to believe that Kagan will suddenly become impartial. Ranking Minority Leader Sessions has been presented with a comprehensive report (here) regarding Kagan's testimony during the hearings that appears rather incriminating. Sessions has said a filibuster of this vote is not out of the question. What happens next with this nominee is of the utmost importance to the few that are watching. I make no accusations about apathy, but the Gallup analysis grieves me by what it implies.

 

 

 

About the Author

Matt is a husband and proud father of four children. He's a full-time missionary serving as the Director of Bound4LIFE and the Justice House of Prayer DC. Formerly he had a career in advertising and marketing. Periodically he really wishes he had paid more attention in Government class.